Dave...
NW Kansas looks good tomorrow (Friday)...the flow at 500mb is a bit messy...but that should resolve itself in the next couple of model runs. Tomorrow's little impulse on WV looks to be rounding the base of the trough late today/early tomorrow. Aside from that everything else looks good. I'd target somewhere West and North of Hays, Kansas....looks like a potential dryline/warm front play...capping may be an issue meaning storms will fire later...but you should be able squeeze enough daylight out to see something good. Given the time of year and upcoming solstice should allow for good storm visibility till at least 9:30pm if under the anvil.
Saturday looks like a wiper-blade play...your guess is as good as mine in terms of a target area...but right now I'd say Beaver to Buffalo, Oklahoma...that's right I said Beaver! Greatest shear profiles will reside around there and the cold wedge of doom will definitely trigger something.
Sunday looks good again in South Central Kansas if the return flow can set up after the Cold fropa from Saturday....target area? Somewhere near Wichita... Beyond that...who knows!!!
Anyhoots...it's unfortunate that you can't chase today...I'd be somewhere near Sidney, Nebraska today waiting for the mothership around 6pm!
chasse d'orage de bonne chance!
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