Thursday, July 1, 2010

Southern Manitoba Canada Day chase?

I'm sitting here at home and watching things bubble up just to the southwest of Winnipeg.

At 19Z satellite imagery indicates a field of congested cumuli near the Manitoba escarpment. Check it out:



Upper charts and local VADs depict a decent amount of flow and there are many wiggles in the water vapour imagery. The SPC mesoanalyses show in excess of 1500 J/kg of MLCAPE.

Surface winds are veered a little bit but are pretty weak right now.

So if we can get an upper impulse coming in to increase lift and back the low-level winds, magic could happen.

I'll be on the lookout to go chasing this afternoon.

2 comments:

  1. Apparently not.
    Well, that's the way chasing goes; sometimes you're the bug and sometimes you're the windshield. This time I didn't go chasing but was prepared to do so while a dear friend and I had a Canada Day dinner. Burgers on the patio; what could be better?

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  2. Oh and I just saw lightning to the north. It's 1 AM.

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