Now onto later this week

As the cleanup continues in the southern states, our focus now turns to the future--specifically later this week.

In short, it looks like things are pretty much hooped until at least Wednesday and possibly Thursday or Friday, depending on how much Gulf moisture makes it back north.

The NAM and GFS both depict surface dewpoints in the mid 50s making it up to the central plains by Wednesday and the lower 60s by Thursday. However, the really juicy stuff, mid 60s, doesn't look like it'll make it into the plains until about Friday or Saturday, and even then it looks to be confined to Texas. That's not to say that there aren't going to be good storms, however, and that's also not to say that the models are right; in fact, I can say without equivocation that the models will be wrong (at least to some degree). (Wait, was that equivocation?)

So here's hoping evapotranspiration adds more fuel to the fire, as it were, for the chasers out there to have a good trip.