Friday, May 20, 2011

Day 2 forecast

Well, after looking at this morning's data (no Norman, OK sounding, thank you very much), it's still as clear as mud.

A surface low is still sitting over the panhandles and southwest Kansas, so a setup similar to yesterday's looks to be in the offing. That means a dryline southward and a triple point somewhere west of our current location of Wichita.

After a leisurely breakfast and discussion amongst us, we decided to sit tight here in Wichita and wait for storms to go to our west. Morning satellite imagery shows clearing starting to occur after the late night/early morning MCS, and west of Wichita should get full sun for at least a couple of hours today.



Wxdog pointed out to me that yesterday's setup wasn't completely ideal, as the storm motion was doomed to take storms away from the instability quickly, and any storm therefore had a low chance of producing a tornado. The reason I mention this is because today's setup is pretty similar. But we'll take what we can get.

The shear vectors in Texas are a little more orthogonal to the dryline (a very little more orthogonal) so those storms may have a bigger chance of being better. Tomorrow's play looks to be around Kansas City, though, and we want to be in place for that one, so rather than go for a long drive for something that was going to happen here anyhow, we'll sit and take that gamble.

As a result of all that, we are unlikely to be on spotternetwork.org until quite a bit later today. If you're looking for us, we're likely to be west of Wichita. The town that was named casually was Pratt, KS.

1 comment:

  1. Greenberg/Pratt.obliterated..07/or 08 Happy Hunting

    ReplyDelete