Monday, May 24, 2010

Long-range forecast

Yeah, so I missed a couple of days on the long range. That's okay. What I'm going to do here is do 2 days' worth--yesterday and today. And we'll see how things change from run to run.

Yesterday's forecast:

May 29: Dickinson, ND to Scottsbluff, NE (GFS) or Ogallala, NE (GEM)
May 30: Omaha, NE (GFS) or Limon, CO (GEM)
May 31: Topeka, KS (GFS) or nowhere (GEM)
June 1: Lusk, WY (GFS) or maybe Lusk, WY (GEM)
June 2: Liberal, KS (GFS)
June 3: Dodge City, KS (GFS)

Today's forecast:

May 29: Glendive, MT (GFS) or Brandon, MB (GEM)
May 30: Salina, KS (GFS) or nowhere (GEM)
May 31: Oklahoma City, OK (GFS) or Broadus, MT (GEM)
June 1: Yuma, CO (GFS) or Lusk, WY (GEM)
June 2: Valentine, NE (ugh) (GFS) or Valentine, NE (ugh) (GEM)
June 3: Kearney, NE (GFS)

Some of these locations are pretty static, and some of them change a whole lot. Even the static ones are static just by chance, as the reasoning for the locations still changes from day to day.

Wow. Forecast models. If we relied on them all the time, especially in the long range, we'd be in trouble.

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