The next few days look sort of interesting from a chasing perspective. I say sort of because of the location.
See, a couple of years ago Paul and the gang went chasing into Mexico, however briefly. The storms on that side of the border often look really juicy on the RADAR, but the road network (not to mention the not-getting-shot-at network) leaves something to be desired.
The pattern the next few days looks to be a deep south Texas/Mexico chase time. Good moisture off the Gulf of Mexico beneath some okay flow aloft and, like can happen in Alberta, magic could ensue.
The NAM is forecasting SBCAPEs on the order of 1500 to 2500 J/kg. Pretty decent, if you ask me. Not great, not early this week kinds of CAPEs, but still.
I wish my friends at the College of DuPage well, safe chasing and lots of good steak.
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In my hotel room in Chicago where I just came back from COD, and this is the area we talked about and are targeting for Saturday. The new ECMWF runs hinted at this area possibly into next week as well. A long haul of a drive tomorrow as were headed to Lawton, Ok or Witchita Falls for the night. Fingers crossed for some picturesque storms!
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